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Edward R. Dewey

How to Make a Cycle Analysis

How to Make a Cycle Analysis

Correspondence Course for the Foundation for the Study of Cycles

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The most elaborate cycle course ever written, by the founder of the Foundation For The Study of Cycles.

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The most elaborate cycle course ever written, by the founder of the Foundation For The Study of Cycles.

Subtitle:Correspondence Course for the Foundation for the Study of Cycles

Content:

Preface
Introduction
Data
Standard Practice Instructions
Introduction Supplements:
  1. Calculating Machine
  2. Homogeneity of Data
  3. Adjusting for Inflation
  4. Handling Revised Data
  5. Obtaining Data
Lesson I.
  Charts and how to use them in Cycle Analysis
  Lesson I Supplements:
      1. Interpolations of Data
      2. More about Ration Scale
      3. About Problem 1
Lesson II.
  Use of Numbers
  Averages
  Index Numbers
  Tabulation
  Logarithms and how to use them in Cycle Analysis
  The use of Logarithms
  The use of Numbers
Lesson III.
  How to make and use Moving Average trends for Cycle Analysis
Lesson IV.
  How to Remove Trend
  Lesson IV Supplements:
    1. The Glossary
    2. The Log
    3. Computing Per Cent of Trend
Lesson V.
  Cycle Analysis.
  How to make a cycle analysis of a series of numbers - a detailed outline.
  The forces creating time series.
  Synthesis.
  The proper way to combine cycles.
  How to combine growth, periodic and random components.
  Analysis.
  How to separate growth, periodic, and random components.
  Reversing cycles,
Lesson VI.
  How to get hints of cycles.
  Inspection.
  Counting intervals
  Thumbing.
  The graduated scale.
  The time chart.
Lesson VII.
  How to make and use the periodic table to reveal the typical or average shape, strength, and timing of the cycle.
  How to rotate the periodic table to compensate for trend.
  Use of color in the periodic table.
Lesson VIII.
  How to use a periodic table to determine the length of the cycle.
Lesson IX.
  How to position the cycle.
Lesson X.
  Randoms: Three ways to minimize them.
Lesson XI.
  The effects of moving averages upon trend, upon cycles, and upon random numbers.
Lesson XII.
  Deviations of numbers from moving averages of various lengths.
  How to correct for distortion.
Lesson XIII.
  Three ways to definitize the cycle.
  Definitizing cycles of integral length and of fractional length.
  Determining the calendar timing of a cycle.
Lesson XIV.
  How to make a periodogram.
Lesson XV.
  Sine and cosine curves and how to fit them.
Lesson XVI.
  How to make a simple harmonic analysis.
  How to make a multiple harmonic analysis.
  Use and limitations of a harmonic analysis.
Lesson XVII.
  How to compute moving percentages, moving rations, and moving differences. Their effect upon cycles. How to use them to detect hidden cycles.
Lesson XVIII.
  The straight line trend.
  When to use it for cycle analysis.
  A short cut method for computing it.
Lesson XIX.
  How to use periodic tables to separate one cycle from another.
Lesson XX.
  Weighted moving averages.
  How to use them to reveal hidden cycles.
Lesson XXI.
  How to make a Streiff Analysis.
Lesson XXII.
  How to determine trend.
  How to project trend and cycles into the future.
Lesson XXIII.
  Tests for the significance of cycles
  Conclusion

Date: 1955

Pages: 630

Binding:

Publisher: Cosmological Economics

Author: Edward R. Dewey

ISBN:

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